Whit Ayres’ comments to WBUR’s Here and Now show on the incumbency effect as it relates to 2016 polling: “There’s a well-established principle in polling, with incumbents running for re-election, that what you see is what you get. In other words, if you’re at 48 as an incumbent, and your opponent is 45, we will...
Whit Ayres’ comments on President Obama’s appeal and Hillary Clinton’s electoral map in The Canadian Press: He’ll start using some of that political advantage Tuesday. Obama-Clinton and Trump will hold competing rallies in North Carolina. It’s a state Obama won once, though he lost it in 2012 and still won a big majority in the...
Jon McHenry’s comment in the Washington Times regarding President Obama’s approval rating and the Supreme Court vacancy: Republican pollster Jon McHenry of North Star Opinion Research said he doubts the Supreme Court nomination is a factor in Mr. Obama’s improved position. “I suspect it’s just [Mr. Obama] being out of the spotlight and others on...
Whit Ayres’ comments in the National Journal on how President Obama’s actions may affect Hillary Clinton’s chances in the 2016 presidential contest: Even so, a pattern is already hardening with Clinton embracing and the 2016 Republicans repudiating many of Obama’s most consequential, and polarizing, initiatives. Republicans believe this dynamic will benefit them because, as Obama...
Whit Ayres’ quoted by msnbc on potential executive action on immigration: “[Executive action] undercuts supporters of immigration reform and emboldens the opponents,” Republican pollster Whit Ayres, who has advocated passing reform to help the GOP win back Latinos, told msnbc. “It’s going to come across as an illegitimate and crassly political move by a desperate...
Whit Ayres’ comments in the Wall Street Journal on the final weeks of the election: Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster, said the late-in-the-game focus on Ebola and Islamic State added to a growing body of evidence that “the administration is in over its head.” While these issues didn’t decide the election, they sucked up a...
Whit Ayres shared his thoughts on the likelihood of Republicans gaining control of the Senate on the Journal Editorial Report: Watch the latest video at video.foxnews.com
Jon McHenry’s comments on the political effect of President Obama’s Ebola response in the Washington Times: “It’s pretty clear that the best politics is to do a travel ban,” said Jon McHenry, vice president of North Star Opinion Research in Alexandria, Virginia. “In that sense, the president, regardless of what’s going on behind scenes, seems...
Whit Ayres’ comments in The Hill regarding outside groups in Senate races: “Money is necessary but not sufficient for political success,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster and strategist. “The record is replete with candidates who have outspent their opponents and still lost.” Ayres said the effectiveness of advertising by outside groups depends largely on...
Our survey with GQRR for NPR was featured on today’s broadcast of Morning Edition, and highlights the tough road ahead for Democrats in swing Senate seats. To read the article, please click here.
