Jon McHenry’s comments in The New York Times regarding challenges in polling: If there is a big miss this cycle it’s likely to be driven by voters who are less educated not participating in the polls. The people you do get on the phone, you can always weight them up … but you don’t know exactly who...
Dan Judy’s comments in Politico on new methodologies: “For us, any experimentation in real time has consequences,” said Dan Judy, a Republican pollster with North Star Opinion Research. “You have to be careful about what you’re doing. If you try it the old way, and the old way is dead, then you end up with...
Jon McHenry’s comments in The Hill regarding “shy Trump voters” and “propriety” polling methods: “[Trafalgar] doesn’t disclose their ‘proprietary digital methods’ so I can’t really evaluate what they’re doing,” said Jon McHenry, a Republican pollster with North Star Opinion Research. “They’re far enough out on a limb that a year from now, we’ll all remember...
Dan Judy’s comments to Bloomberg Government regarding telephone surveys during the coronavirus pandemic: “We are seeing response rates higher than we’ve seen in many years,’’ said Dan Judy, who polls for Republican candidates at North Star Opinion Research in Alexandria, Va. … The response rate for polls has been in decline for years, as many...
Jon McHenry’s comments to The Hill on polling during the coronavirus pandemic: The coronavirus has led to a drawdown in political spending across the board, leading to a slowdown in everything from polls to media ad buys. Fundraisers are having a tough time raising cash from once-reliable donors. Campaigns aren’t running political ads and they’re less...
Whit Ayres’ comments to WBUR’s Here and Now show on the incumbency effect as it relates to 2016 polling: “There’s a well-established principle in polling, with incumbents running for re-election, that what you see is what you get. In other words, if you’re at 48 as an incumbent, and your opponent is 45, we will...
Dan Judy appeared on WBUR’s show On Point to talk about polling and the 2016 presidential election. http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2016/11/09/election-2016-the-results Dan’s comments start at the 28 minute mark.
Dan Judy’s comments to CNN on oversampling and claims that polling is deliberately overstating the standing of Hillary Clinton: “Pollsters just saw this and rolled our eyes,” said Dan Judy, a Republican pollster for North Star Opinion Research. “This is the classic case of people using an intentional or unintentional misunderstanding of polling to pretend...
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