Presidential Contest Archives - North Star Opinion Research

“Polling throughout the race gave us insights into the broader outlines of the contest.”

Joe Biden Kamala Harris Presidential Contest Whit AyresNovember 8, 2024

Whit Ayres’ discussed polling accuracy in an op-ed for US News: Polling throughout the race also gave us insights into the broader outlines of the contest, from the big picture to the importance of various issues. All U.S. presidential elections are referenda on the incumbent administration in some way, and 2024 was no different. President...

“People are more willing to vote for their pocketbook.”

Economy Jon McHenry Presidential Contest TrumpNovember 7, 2024

Jon McHenry’s comments on NPR regarding Tuesday’s election results: In the end, Trump’s victory may have simply come down to an old political cliché: “It’s the economy, stupid.” “Ultimately what it says about President Trump’s win is that people are more willing to vote for their pocketbook,” said Republican pollster Jon McHenry. “They say, ‘I...

“Republicans were more focused on issues that matter to people.”

Economy Immigration and Border Security Jon McHenry Presidential Contest RepublicansNovember 7, 2024

Jon McHenry’s comments to The Boston Globe regarding Republican gains in New England: Political strategists say Trump spoke more directly to those who worry about the cost of goods and the impact of the state’s surging migrant population in their communities. “Ultimately, what the results from yesterday say is that Republicans were more focused on...

Rallies Beyond the Swing States

Jon McHenry Political Climate Presidential Contest Swing StatesNovember 4, 2024

Jon McHenry spoke with Franco Ordoñez with NPR to discuss Donald Trump’s rallies outside the swing states: https://www.npr.org/2024/11/03/nx-s1-5175599/trump-is-choosing-to-campaign-in-blue-states-will-the-risk-pay-off

“It’s like trying to get blood out of a stone.”

Presidential Contest Voter Turnout Whit AyresNovember 4, 2024

Whit Ayres joined James Carville and Al Hunt on their Politics War Room podcast to talk about the state of the race in the last week: https://t.co/mr49WiDwhs

“There’s really a small number in most political campaigns of voters who are truly persuadable.”

Dan Judy Political Climate Presidential ContestOctober 29, 2024

Dan Judy’s comments in The Atlantic about persuadable voters: If people are tuning out, it might not matter much for the election results. Most people already know whom they’re going to vote for; the universe of truly undecided voters is very small—likely less than 15 percent of the electorate. “The vast, vast, vast majority of...

“What it is likely to do is galvanize his supporters and ensure a good turnout in November.”

International Jon McHenry Presidential Contest Trump Voter TurnoutSeptember 16, 2024

Jon McHenry joined BBC’s Newshour for the last ten minutes on September 16 to discuss the assassination attempt against Donald Trump in Florida: https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w172zb9293pdscy

“Health care is important as part of the cost of living issue.”

Dan Judy Health Care Political Climate Presidential ContestSeptember 12, 2024

Dan Judy’s comments the The New York Times regarding the importance of health care in the 2024 election: “Health care is still very important for people,” said Dan Judy, an analyst at North Star Opinion Research, a Republican polling firm. “But it’s important as part of a broader economic and inflation and cost of living...

“If she has a bad debate … she might lock in those deficits.”

Jon McHenry Kamala Harris Presidential ContestSeptember 9, 2024

Jon McHenry’s comments to The Daily Caller regarding Kamala Harris’ candidacy and the importance of Tuesday’s debate: “She hasn’t really been introduced to a lot of the country yet,” Jon McHenry, GOP polling analyst and vice president at North Star Opinion Research, told the DCNF. “They had a stage produced convention, and up until last...

Whit Ayres, April 29

Featured In the News Sidebar News Clips Political Climate Presidential ContestMay 2, 2016

Whit Ayres’ comments in the San Antonio Express-News regarding the vice presidential selection process: For Trump, the selection process is complicated by not knowing when he might be able to claim the nomination. “If we know as of the evening of June 7 (when the primary season effectively ends), then it will be a more...

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